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The Forestry Agency recently compiled the short-term supply and demand prospects for the first half of 2010 (the first quarter and second quarter of 2010) for major timber. The forecast for demand is made based on new housing starts for each quarter, and this time, the forecast was based on 839,000 units, the average of new housing start figures for 2010 projected by 14 private financial research agencies.
The forecast figures show that figures for the April-June quarter are larger than the January-March quarter. “Demand will remain at the same pace with 2009 till the January-March quarter, and the recovery is likely to be delayed until the April-June quarter or later,” says the projection committee. It is expected that the housing eco-point system slated to be approved in a secondary supplementary budget and the policy to expand gift taxes that will become a temporary legislation will produce an effect in the summer. |